El economista Nouriel Roubini ha desempeñado diversas funciones en el Departamento del Tesoro de los Estados Unidos, fue docente en la Universidad de Yale y actualmente es profesor de economía de la Universidad de Nueva York.

¿Quién es Roubini?

Nouriel Roubini es reconocido por sus predicciones respecto a la crisis financiera desatada a partir de la Crisis de las hipotecas subprime. A finales del año 2008, era claro que gran parte de sus predicciones se habían convertido en realidad. Asesora ante instituciones tan influyentes como el Congreso de los Estados Unidos y el Foro Económico Mundial (Davos).

Ahora, Nouriel Roubini nos advierte que la recesión va a empeorar aún más en los países de la zona euro, cuya periferia está sufriendo de manera muy notable las medidas de austeridad impuestas por sus gobiernos.

“Esas medidas de austeridad están causando el sufrimiento de la gente, le están produciendo una sensación de fatiga”.

La solución no es otra que la aceleración de las reformas estructurales que estimulan el crecimiento de la productividad y la mutualización de la deuda, así como la creación de un sistema europeo de garantía de depósitos.

Roubini también nos está avisando sobre el incremento de la tensión en Oriente Medio, con la inestabilidad generada por la llamada “Primavera árabe” y el continuo riesgo de una intervención militar israelí en Irán. Todo ello, “produciría una situación de alta volatilidad en el terreno económico, con un incremento notable de los precios del crudo y sus lógicas repercusiones en la economía mundial”. Además, insiste que si no se adoptan medidas la economía mundial podría enfrentarse a una salida  en la que salga Grecia de  la eurozona y por ende contagie a España, Portugal e Italia, y que Estados Unidos entre en una doble recesión, además de que caiga bruscamente el crecimiento de China. Una verdadera “tormenta perfecta”.

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